According to data from Santiment, wallets holding between 10 and 10,000 BTC, commonly referred to as whales and sharks, have collectively accumulated 61,568 BTC over the past month.

Whale Accumulation Through Volatility

This marks a 0.45% increase in their total holdings, signaling sustained confidence among key stakeholders despite choppy price action. The buying spree has unfolded against a backdrop of significant uncertainty.

Escalating tensions in the Middle East initially acted as a tailwind for the world’s largest cryptocurrency. However, as the conflict shows no clear signs of easing, broader market uncertainty has weighed on BTC’s upside momentum in recent sessions.

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Nevertheless, Santiment noted that ongoing accumulation by large holders is “a promising sign of an eventual breakout from this range.”

On-chain data from CryptoQuant further supports this outlook. Bitcoin reserves held on centralized exchanges have declined to approximately 2.7 million BTC, levels not seen since 2019.

This trend is widely interpreted as bullish, as it indicates reduced sell-side pressure and a growing preference among investors to move assets into cold storage for longer-term holding.

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Retail FOMO Remains a Headwind

That said, not all signals are unequivocally positive. Santiment noted that, beyond the macroeconomic and geopolitical headwinds, continued retail enthusiasm is tempering the bullish case.

Wallets holding less than 0.01 BTC have added 0.42% to their collective balance over the same period, nearly matching the whale accumulation rate. Santiment flagged this as a headwind.

“Ideally, the ranging pattern will break upwards when large wallets are accumulating, while retail is dumping. This has historically been a very reliable pattern to signal the start of bull cycles,” the post read.

The current dynamic, where both whales and retail are buying simultaneously, suggests the market has not yet reached the kind of sentiment reset that typically precedes a sustained rally. If small wallets begin to sell while whale accumulation continues, the conditions for a meaningful breakout may strengthen.
source: https://www.tradingview.com/news/beincrypto:0c9ec63ad094b:0-whales-are-loading-up-on-bitcoin-but-retail-investors-may-be-delaying-the-breakout/